EUR/USD EURUSD — Euro / US Dollar
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Daily Market Hub Primary count N/A Turning Bearish

EUR/USD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

EURUSD, Daily: Wave (C) Targets Equal-Leg Zone as Minor Wave 3 Extends

By Tony Lyle · Updated 18 Sep 2026, 8:21pm UK · First published 16 Sep 2026
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Wave C is projected to target the 1.11812 to 1.10216 zone, where the 0.618 extension and the equal-leg projection to wave A converge. Price is forming primary wave 3, which can reach the 2.618 extension level in such strong trends, with the current sequence unfolding only once wave C is confirmed complete at its low.

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Bias

Turning Bearish

Current wave

Wave C Minor degree

Condition

Corrective Forming

Confidence

Medium Count active

Invalidation

1.17252 Count is wrong beyond

Wave Thesis

Intermediate wave (B) is complete, forming as a flat structure with the high reached near the 0.618-0.764 fib zone around 1.165-1.173. We're now tracking wave (C) of ((A)), the next leg lower.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Elliott Wave analysis?

Elliott Wave analysis is a technical analysis method that identifies repeating price patterns, or "waves," shaped by shifts in investor psychology. It's used to forecast probable future price direction based on the market's current wave structure.

Is Elliott Wave analysis a guarantee of future price movement?

No. Elliott Wave analysis identifies the most probable wave count and price scenario based on current market structure, but markets can and do invalidate a count. It should be used alongside proper risk management, not as a standalone guarantee.

What's the difference between an impulse wave and a corrective wave?

An impulse wave is a five-wave structure that moves in the direction of the larger trend, while a corrective wave is a counter-trend structure (commonly three waves) that retraces part of the prior move.

What is the current Elliott Wave count for EUR/USD?

As of this analysis, EUR/USD is trading in Wave C, of Minor degree, on the daily timeframe.

Is EUR/USD bullish or bearish right now?

Based on the current Elliott Wave structure, our analysis shows a Turning Bearish bias for EUR/USD.

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This analysis is for information and education only and is not financial advice. Trading leveraged products such as forex, futures and CFDs carries a high risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not a guide to future results.

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