EUR/USD EURUSD — Euro / US Dollar
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Daily Market Hub Primary count Bullish near term

EUR/USD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

((iv)) Bounce Due Towards 1.1350

By Tony Lyle · Updated 13 Oct 2026, 1:43am UK · First published 9 Oct 2026
0

EUR/USD has completed wave ((iii)) near 1.1161 and is expected to move sideways in wave ((iv)), possibly as a triangle, towards 1.1278 to 1.1350. Once that completes, we expect wave C to continue lower towards 1.1094.

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Bias

Bullish near term Near-term Bullish, Long-term Bearish

Current wave

Wave C Minor degree

Condition

Impulsive Forming

Confidence

Medium Count active

Invalidation

1.15665 Count is wrong beyond

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Elliott Wave analysis?

Elliott Wave analysis is a technical analysis method that identifies repeating price patterns, or "waves," shaped by shifts in investor psychology. It's used to forecast probable future price direction based on the market's current wave structure.

Is Elliott Wave analysis a guarantee of future price movement?

No. Elliott Wave analysis identifies the most probable wave count and price scenario based on current market structure, but markets can and do invalidate a count. It should be used alongside proper risk management, not as a standalone guarantee.

What's the difference between an impulse wave and a corrective wave?

An impulse wave is a five-wave structure that moves in the direction of the larger trend, while a corrective wave is a counter-trend structure (commonly three waves) that retraces part of the prior move.

What is the current Elliott Wave count for EUR/USD?

As of this analysis, EUR/USD is trading in Wave C, of Minor degree, on the daily timeframe.

Is EUR/USD bullish or bearish right now?

Based on the current Elliott Wave structure, our analysis shows a Near-term Bullish, Long-term Bearish bias for EUR/USD.

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This analysis is for information and education only and is not financial advice. Trading leveraged products such as forex, futures and CFDs carries a high risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not a guide to future results.

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